Currency

Gold falls after stronger U.S. jobs data

Gold and silver slid after a stronger-than-expected U.S. August payrolls report revived expectations of tighter Federal Reserve policy, pushing Treasury rates and the dollar higher.

FX Desk·
A close-up of a gold bar stamped "SWITZERLAND", the fineness "999.9" and the casting date 2022-06 (illustrative image)

Ibex73 / Wikimedia Commons (CC BY 4.0)

Gold prices fell sharply on Friday, giving back part of the gains posted over the previous two sessions after a stronger-than-expected U.S. employment report pointed to a firmer labor market and renewed speculation about a U.S. rate increase. The move came as traders reassessed the outlook for monetary policy in light of the latest jobs data.

Jobs report shifts the rate outlook

Front-month Comex gold for October delivery dropped $53.80, or 1.19%, to $4,451.10 an ounce. Silver also weakened, with October Comex silver down $0.984, or 1.47%, to $66.180 an ounce. The declines followed the release of the U.S. nonfarm payrolls report, which showed the economy added 162,000 jobs in August.

The Labor Department figure was well above market expectations of 56,000, while July payroll growth was revised to 23,000 from the initial reading. Revisions to June and July together added 55,000 more jobs, underscoring a labor market that remains more resilient than many traders had anticipated.

What the payrolls data means for metals

The unemployment rate held at 4.10% in August, matching forecasts. The number of unemployed people rose by 115,000 to 7,030,000, while total employment increased by 569,000 to 162,750,000. Manufacturing also posted an increase of 16,000, adding to the picture of a still-expanding economy.

For precious metals, the significance of the report lies in how it affects interest rate expectations. Gold does not pay interest, so it tends to lose appeal when traders think the Federal Reserve may have less room to ease policy or may need to keep rates elevated for longer.

The latest labor data also came despite a backdrop of wider uncertainty, including the war in the Middle East, higher oil prices and trade tensions tied to tariffs. Even so, the payrolls release suggested the U.S. economy entered late summer with more momentum than many had expected.

That combination helped pressure bullion prices even though gold had risen in the two previous sessions. The broader message for markets was that a robust labor market can quickly change the tone for rate expectations, and with it the near-term direction for non-yielding assets such as gold.

This article is not investment advice and recommends no asset, level or direction; a single session's move is not evidence of a trend. For background see Currency, Cross Rate, Currency Pair, and for terms the finance glossary.

Frequently asked questions

Why did gold fall after the jobs report?

The report came in much stronger than expected, which revived expectations that U.S. interest rates could stay higher or rise again. That tends to weigh on gold because it does not pay interest.

How much did gold and silver move?

October Comex gold fell $53.80, or 1.19%, to $4,451.10 an ounce. October Comex silver dropped $0.984, or 1.47%, to $66.180 an ounce.

What did the U.S. labor report show?

The economy added 162,000 jobs in August, the unemployment rate held at 4.10%, and earlier payroll figures for June and July were revised higher by a combined 55,000 jobs.

Sources

#gold#silver#jobs report#Federal Reserve#Comex

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