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Currency

Gold heads for biggest monthly gain since 1999

Gold was steady on Friday but remained on pace for its strongest monthly rise in more than 25 years as U.S. Treasury buybacks helped cap long-term yields.

FX Desk·
Three gold ingots stacked on a white background (illustrative image)

Szaaman / Wikimedia Commons (pd)

Gold was little changed on Friday, but it remained set for its sharpest monthly advance since 1999 after the U.S. Treasury moved to restrain long-term borrowing costs through aggressive bond repurchases. Spot bullion traded near $4,602 an ounce, while U.S. gold futures were marginally lower.

Treasury action supports bullion

The metal has climbed almost 14% so far in August, putting it on track for a rare monthly surge. The Treasury's effort to keep bond yields from rising further has supported the appeal of non-yielding assets such as gold, which tends to benefit when real interest-rate pressures ease.

The dollar was also steady near a one-week high as investors looked ahead to Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's remarks at the Jackson Hole symposium later in the day. Markets are watching for any clues on inflation, borrowing costs and the Fed's policy stance, even though Warsh has signaled limited appetite for standard forward guidance.

Geopolitics stay on traders' radar

Broader market sentiment was also shaped by developments in the Middle East, where traders are waiting to see whether diplomacy involving Iran and Qatar could affect conditions around the Strait of Hormuz. Any easing of tensions there would matter for energy flows and broader risk appetite, while continued disruption would keep a geopolitical premium in place.

The White House said it was not negotiating directly with Iran, even as other countries pursue diplomatic contacts. Iran's military separately said it had reached a revenue-sharing deal with Oman over the waterway, but Tehran also said the strait could not be reopened because of what it described as ceasefire violations by the U.S. and Israel.

Taken together, lower yields, a firm dollar and unresolved geopolitical risks have left gold consolidating at elevated levels rather than extending sharply higher on the day. The broader monthly move, however, remains historically strong and reflects how quickly the backdrop for bullion has changed in August.

This article is not investment advice and recommends no asset, level or direction; a single session's move is not evidence of a trend. For background see Currency, Cross Rate, Currency Pair, and for terms the finance glossary.

Frequently asked questions

Why has gold rallied so strongly in August?

Gold has gained nearly 14% this month, helped by U.S. Treasury buybacks aimed at limiting long-term borrowing costs and supporting the metal's appeal.

What is happening with the dollar and Treasury yields?

The dollar was little changed near a one-week high, while Treasury action has been focused on keeping bond yields down.

What other market factors are traders watching?

Investors are waiting for Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole remarks and are also monitoring developments around the Strait of Hormuz and Middle East diplomacy.

Sources

#Gold#Treasury yields#U.S. dollar#Federal Reserve#Commodities

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